The good old manual gearbox will be no more in six to seven years from now, BMW’s M division has predicted.

Speaking to Asia Pacific media including paultan.org at the recent BMW M Experience 2017 event in Incheon, South Korea, BMW M’s vice-president of sales and marketing, Peter Quintus, explained that both the lack of demand for the stick shift as well as the limited amount of torque a MT can handle are reasons why the manual is dying a slow death.

The M sales boss revealed that only 10% of the cars it sells are manuals, and 40% of those goes to the US market. As for the torque rating part, 600 Nm is what its manuals can take, and that’s not enough moving ahead. The new BMW M4 CS, which was previewed at the M event before its world debut in Shanghai, has 460 hp and 600 Nm.

A new manual transmission that’s more durable has to be be developed, but it’s very difficult to finance such a project given the limited appeal of MTs. “Unfortunately, I don’t think the manual transmission has a future,” Quintus said, giving the row-it-yourself gearbox a lifespan of six to seven years from today.

Don’t American muscle cars powered by big V8s have more than 600 Nm? Australia’s Drive asked that. “We looked at US gearboxes. We found they were heavy and the shift quality was awful,” Quintus said. “I’m not even sure the next generation of M3 and M4 models from BMW will have the option of a manual gearbox,” he reiterated. So, get one while you can, manual fans.

Where does the dual-clutch gearbox stand in this debate? Even the DCT currently used by M will be going the way of the dodo, for BMW’s performance division at least. Answering Drive, Quintus said that the conventional automatic is the future, and that DCTs will eventually fade away.

“It’s more a question of how long has the DCT got to go. How long will it last? We are now seeing automatic transmissions with nine and even 10 speeds, so there’s a lot of technology in modern automatics. The DCT once had two advantages: it was light and its shift speeds were higher. Now, a lot of that shift-time advantage has disappeared as automatics get better and smarter,” he told the Aussie publication.

The main takeaway is that auto is the way to go, and we should prepare our goodbye notes for the high performance MT and DCT.

GALLERY: BMW M4 CS