Chinese carmakers may shift focus to SE Asia amidst tariff pressures, Malaysia likely a key target – CIMB

Chinese carmakers and parts suppliers are expected to shift their focus towards tariff-friendly regions such as Southeast Asia, and Malaysia is likely to emerge as a key target, reports the New Straits Times. According to a CIMB Securities note, this could lead to a Chinese vehicle and component import surge, offered at highly-competitive prices to offload excess capacity.

“While this influx may benefit consumers in the short term by providing greater variety, access to advanced electric vehicle (EV) technologies and more affordable options, it would also intensify competitive pressure on domestic players.

“Japanese, South Korean and European marques operating in Malaysia are already feeling the heat, as Chinese brands like BYD and Chery enter the market with advanced features, scale-driven cost advantages and aggressive pricing strategies,” the note said.

It added that despite this, national brands such as Perodua are well-positioned to defend and even expand their market share – the Sungai Choh-based carmaker’s affordable pricing and high local content cushion it from import costs and currency fluctuations, it explained.

Chinese carmakers may shift focus to SE Asia amidst tariff pressures, Malaysia likely a key target – CIMB

“Its ability to maintain stable pricing is a major advantage as Malaysian consumers become more cost-conscious. Already dominant in the mass-market segment, Perodua stands to gain further if buyers who might have considered foreign brands opt for economical and locally-produced alternatives,” it said.

Although CIMB Securities expects minimal direct impact on Malaysia from Trump’s reciprocal tariffs (due to our limited exports of fully-assembled vehicles and parts), there could be indirect impacts from imported inflation, operational cost pressures and a potential demand slowdown.

“A prolonged tariff conflict and any resultant weakening of the ringgit would raise the price of imported completely-knocked-down (CKD) kits, components and fully-assembled vehicles. Currency volatility could squeeze margins and lead to higher input costs, putting pressure on automakers to either absorb the hit or pass it on to consumers.

“In Malaysia, where motor vehicle purchases are often tied to consumer financing, any deterioration in sentiment could reduce new vehicle bookings. We believe the extent of the impact will depend on the duration and severity of the US-China trade conflict and ringgit volatility,” it said.

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Jonathan James Tan

While most dream of the future, Jonathan Tan dreams of the past, although he's never been there. Fantasises much too often about cruising down Treacher Road (Jalan Sultan Ismail) in a Triumph Stag that actually works, and hopes this stint here will snap him back to present reality.

 

Comments

  • Frankc on Apr 17, 2025 at 4:29 pm

    Australian market too will be a target for Chinese automotive brands. Not a bad thing since vehicle with high technology content available at affordable price. Perhaps some localisation to adapt to local needs may be the new trend rather than CBU.
    For Proton it’s a big pressure. I m still saying proton’s supply chain must up their capabilities and cost control to join these Chinese supply chain. That’s the way to keep Proton alive

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 5 Thumb down 0
  • Go Chinaaa

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 4 Thumb down 2
  • Dah Menang Semua on Apr 17, 2025 at 5:26 pm

    Come Come
    More features
    More discounts
    Kick the Jepun out

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 2 Thumb down 5
  • Johnny on Apr 17, 2025 at 6:29 pm

    Article stated Perodua is well positioned to defend – try putting the Chinese players on level playing field with Perodua and Proton in terms of pricing and remove the RM100k threshold for CBU import and see if Perodua can still defend.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 22 Thumb down 1
    • Snoopy on Apr 18, 2025 at 5:15 am

      Isn’t the 100k threshold only for EV cars? There is no stopping the Chinese ICE cars to compete at a P2 level right?

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 2 Thumb down 0
      • cukaboi on Apr 21, 2025 at 9:56 am

        Do you think gomen will let them sell their ice at P2’s price bracket?
        I doubt that. It’s good to protect our local marques but not at rakyat’s expense.

        Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0
    • Sohaiprotected2bigBabyP on Apr 18, 2025 at 9:48 am

      Ouch! Lol

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 0
    • Colin on Apr 20, 2025 at 5:42 pm

      Can Proton and Perodua still defend themselves…..of course NOT.

      Let’s be honest Whether Proton is by themselves or owned by GEELY, Proton will forever be remembered as a failed car brand.

      As for Perodua, whether they are owned by UMW or not, As long as the Top Executives, Board of Directors, CEO, CFO, COO and other Top People in both companies UMW and Perodua only care about profits…… even if it means still making Underpowered, Noisy , Less fuel-efficient, outdated and poorly build cars in 2025, ya it’s better to just shut the “PERODUA” brand down…so pathetic. Forget about the Perodua EMO EV, both UMW and Perodua CAN’T even update their NEW gas-powered car models and they talk about going into electrification? Uhhhh ya good luck burning cash to both companies

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 8 Thumb down 2
  • Mad tariff guru Donald the Trumpeter on Apr 17, 2025 at 7:37 pm

    Since both P1 and 2 are heavily protected,the only way to under cut these 2 brands is by forced entry at ridiculously unthinkable pricing,gain a foothold first..then slowly play longball game…increase pricing once the China brands are extremely competitive.
    Time for P1 n 2 to lower their ridiculous pricing,which are a ” beban” to the rakyat.How can a super compact like the MYVI be so expensive ? This kind of socalled “dumping” will shake up the industry,rakyat will benefit from lower car prices.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 17 Thumb down 2
  • I could see the Japanese brands loss more market shares in the process. T10 most probably not attract by the dumpling deals , cause they have the means and wanna maintain their status , therefore paying premium for brands like Lexus, BMW and conti.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 3 Thumb down 1
  • trenc on Apr 18, 2025 at 6:46 am

    In other word, Malaysia will become dumping ground for Chinese product.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 4 Thumb down 2
  • Sorchai on Apr 18, 2025 at 9:02 am

    Malaysia is just behaving like US, but for an even longer time. Putting tariffs on imported cars and raising prices of local cars to protect an uncompetitive local car industry. In the end, the car industry still failed and has to be bought over.

    Burdening the people with high loans, interests etc when these money can be used to develop the economy further in various aspects.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 8 Thumb down 0
  • kogila on Apr 18, 2025 at 9:18 am

    after what happened with Geely with Proton factory workers, I doubt if other Chinese car makers heard about the working culture here, they’d want to setup factory here.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 2 Thumb down 1
 

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