Chinese carmakers and parts suppliers are expected to shift their focus towards tariff-friendly regions such as Southeast Asia, and Malaysia is likely to emerge as a key target, reports the New Straits Times. According to a CIMB Securities note, this could lead to a Chinese vehicle and component import surge, offered at highly-competitive prices to offload excess capacity.

“While this influx may benefit consumers in the short term by providing greater variety, access to advanced electric vehicle (EV) technologies and more affordable options, it would also intensify competitive pressure on domestic players.

“Japanese, South Korean and European marques operating in Malaysia are already feeling the heat, as Chinese brands like BYD and Chery enter the market with advanced features, scale-driven cost advantages and aggressive pricing strategies,” the note said.

It added that despite this, national brands such as Perodua are well-positioned to defend and even expand their market share – the Sungai Choh-based carmaker’s affordable pricing and high local content cushion it from import costs and currency fluctuations, it explained.

Chinese carmakers may shift focus to SE Asia amidst tariff pressures, Malaysia likely a key target – CIMB

“Its ability to maintain stable pricing is a major advantage as Malaysian consumers become more cost-conscious. Already dominant in the mass-market segment, Perodua stands to gain further if buyers who might have considered foreign brands opt for economical and locally-produced alternatives,” it said.

Although CIMB Securities expects minimal direct impact on Malaysia from Trump’s reciprocal tariffs (due to our limited exports of fully-assembled vehicles and parts), there could be indirect impacts from imported inflation, operational cost pressures and a potential demand slowdown.

“A prolonged tariff conflict and any resultant weakening of the ringgit would raise the price of imported completely-knocked-down (CKD) kits, components and fully-assembled vehicles. Currency volatility could squeeze margins and lead to higher input costs, putting pressure on automakers to either absorb the hit or pass it on to consumers.

“In Malaysia, where motor vehicle purchases are often tied to consumer financing, any deterioration in sentiment could reduce new vehicle bookings. We believe the extent of the impact will depend on the duration and severity of the US-China trade conflict and ringgit volatility,” it said.

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