China car sales set for first annual decline since 1990

China car sales set for first annual decline since 1990

Alibaba may have smashed its 11.11 Singles Day sales record yesterday ($30.8 billion sales in 24 hours, including your Lazada haul), which points to robust consumer spending, but China auto sales is heading towards its first annual decline, the first seen since at least 1990, Reuters reports.

There are plenty of worries about the state of the world’s second largest economy, not least the trade war with the US and slowing growth, and car sales have mirrored that. Auto sales fell 11.7% in October, pushing Jan-Oct year-to-date sales down 0.1% (22.87 million) from the same period last year.

October’s 2.38 million was also the fourth straight month of declines and the steepest drop since early 2012, according to data from the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM). “Maintaining positive growth to the end of the year won’t be easy. There could be negative growth,” said Yao Jie, vice secretary general of CAAM.

The auto industry body said the drop was linked to sluggish consumer demand and the impact of a slowing economy. In previous months CAAM also said that the trade war with the US was impacting sales. CAAM had originally forecast a 3% rise for 2018, which is in line with last year’s growth. The curve was up 13.7% in 2016.

“Things don’t look good all the way to the end of the year, because of weakness in the market and the high base for comparison from last year,” said Yale Zhang, head of Shanghai-based consultancy Automotive Foresight. He is watching to see if car makers made a push to spur sales. “If the OEMs give up then sales volumes could be really bad.”

One bright spot was the sales of new energy vehicles, which include plug-in hybrids and electric vehicles. NEV sales were up 51% in October, which took YTD sales to 860,000 units – that’s 75.6% higher year-on-year.

Besides being a barometer of consumers’ willingness to shell out for big ticket items, China’s auto market – the biggest in the world – is also a major employer and economic growth driver.

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Danny Tan

Danny Tan loves driving as much as he loves a certain herbal meat soup, and sweet engine music as much as drum beats. He has been in the auto industry since 2006, previously filling the pages of two motoring magazines before joining this website. Enjoys detailing the experience more than the technical details.

 

Comments

  • TheDean on Nov 12, 2018 at 10:36 am

    What Goes Up Eventually Come Down.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 5 Thumb down 0
    • Azman on Nov 12, 2018 at 3:26 pm

      This is why they are looking outside. You see Geely, managed to get local car status for all their cars in Malaysia through shortcut way.

      Now, they can use Malaysia as their platform to sell all Geely cars in Malaysia with local tax privileges.

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 0
    • sarawak sarawak on Nov 13, 2018 at 9:53 pm

      Population doesn’t!

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0
  • Mr Shaheed on Nov 12, 2018 at 10:42 am

    Back in 1990, Proton should penetrate China.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 2 Thumb down 7
    • Freddy on Nov 12, 2018 at 2:34 pm

      Mitsubishi masters didn’t allow it back then. That’s why Proton decided to go solo 10 years later.

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 10 Thumb down 0
    • John Minum Teh 8X on Nov 12, 2018 at 3:14 pm

      But then 18 years later they still could not penetrate China because they did not know how to do business.

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 1
      • History Bender on Nov 13, 2018 at 10:50 am

        Can’t blame China for not knowing how to do business back then, they were purely a Communist country after all.

        Like or Dislike: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 1
  • Lullaby on Nov 12, 2018 at 3:12 pm

    The US sanctions is having its effect on China. They know how to bring any country down to its knees

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 1
    • History Bender on Nov 13, 2018 at 10:51 am

      In smaller country like ours, they just do regime change to a friendlier, allied strongman regime.

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 1
    • stastasta on Nov 13, 2018 at 4:54 pm

      mahathir favors japan over china. what “friendlier, allied strongman regime.” are u talking about ?

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 0
  • did they get rid of their “lotteries” for a License Plates…. in the 1st tier cities?

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0
 

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