Toyota forecasts 30% EV sales in Asia by 2030, but target remains carbon neutrality, not EV-only push

Toyota forecasts 30% EV sales in Asia by 2030, but target remains carbon neutrality, not EV-only push

We are currently in Tokyo to cover the Japan Mobility Show 2023 (traditionally called the Tokyo Motor Show, now renamed to cover mobility as a whole, not just cars), which will start tomorrow. Toyota Motor Asia Pacific’s (TMAP) pre-show briefing here has provided a few interesting insights into the company’s targets and beliefs for the near future. Surprise surprise, it’s not all about EVs.

TMAP president and Asia deputy CEO Hao Quoc Tien revealed that Toyota estimates by 2030, between 20% and 30% of its sales in Asia will be EVs. The numbers will vary from country to country – he singled out Singapore to have very high EV adoption, Thailand around 25%, while others may be lower, mainly due to the lack of charging infrastructure.

But beyond that, Hao reiterates Toyota’s long-standing position that EV isn’t the only way forward, as the ultimate target continues to be achieving carbon neutrality, not an EV-only future. “Let’s say we do get that 30% (of EV sales in Asia), if we don’t (also) improve the other 70%, our carbon neutrality goal will be missed,” he added.

“It’s not all about EVs – nothing wrong about EVs, I think the technology is really good – but there are real limitations (for now). Maybe in another 10 or 20 years, the EV percentage will be higher, and I think it should be, but from now until then, what are we going to do? That’s the key question,” he elaborated.

Toyota is currently working hard to reduce carbon emissions across various technologies for the other 70% of non-EV sales, with what it calls a multi-pathway approach to sustainability. The company firmly believes that each technology has its role in helping to reduce carbon emissions.

One of Toyota’s key pillars moving forward is to offer clean mobility for all, while leaving no one behind. Casting a wider net is crucial to achieving the goal, especially in markets that are less ready/welcoming of full electric vehicles. If it goes full-force towards an EV-only immediate future, markets like ours will lose out (or be left behind, in Toyota’s own words).

Toyota forecasts 30% EV sales in Asia by 2030, but target remains carbon neutrality, not EV-only push

The multiple technologies in question here are: internal combustion engine (ICE, or your regular fuel-burning petrol or diesel motor), bio-fuel compressed natural gas (CNG), hybrid electric vehicle (HEV), plug-in hybrid vehicle (PHEV), battery electric vehicle (BEV or EV) and lastly, hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicle (FCEV). Yes, each one has a role to play still.

Every little bit helps, Toyota says, and looking at all possible solutions instead of focusing solely on EVs is the better way forward. Do you agree with this take, or do you think it should be EVs or nothing? Comment below.

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Hafriz Shah

Preferring to drive cars rather than desks, Hafriz Shah ditched his suit and tie to join the ranks of Malaysia’s motoring hacks. A car’s technical brilliance is completely lost on him, appreciating character-making quirks more. When not writing this ego trip of a bio, he’s usually off driving about aimlessly, preferably in a car with the right combination of three foot pedals and six gears.

 

Comments

  • Susukotak on Oct 24, 2023 at 7:25 pm

    Japan flying high after WW2. palestin pon boleh

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 5 Thumb down 13
    • jav analysist on Oct 25, 2023 at 3:10 pm

      Nippon gladly remains loyal and obedient to master superpower across eastern pacific ocean. Does Peleset emulates these pacifying traits?

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 12 Thumb down 2
      • Climate Not Changing on Nov 01, 2023 at 3:31 pm

        Solid state battery tech already in their pocket, anytime when the market is actually ready for it. Toyota just trying to make the transition more equitable. A move that makes sense. The climate can wait, no need to rush.

        Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0
  • Autodriver on Oct 25, 2023 at 8:10 am

    When the EV battery 1 single charge can last 1000km meanwhile charging time as low as 10 min, it is basically game over for ICE. It is not about diversification but purely owning EV the cost of ownership is lower compare to ICE. EV is almost maintenance free or very minimum cost compare to ICE.

    The fuel price is highly fluctuate compare to electric cost.

    If Toyota insist of multi-path approach this will incur more cost compare to those makers who highly focus on single path.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 9 Thumb down 2
    • Squid on Oct 25, 2023 at 4:22 pm

      Will incur more cost if you have the same market share. But Toyota’s slice of the pie is much bigger than everyone else so it should cost the same or lesser than the rest.

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 1
  • Sohai on Oct 25, 2023 at 11:41 am

    Based on what Toyota just said, they can no longer be a market leader with that kind of strategy.
    A leader is responsible to shape the future, but what Toyota is trying to do is just to bet on multiple horses and wait and see for the time being.
    Be bold. There is still chance to champion its own tech like Hydrogen Fuel Cell before the mass adoption of EV.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 12 Thumb down 1
  • ThePolygon on Oct 25, 2023 at 3:57 pm

    It’s good and all but the problem now is, Toyota, your time to market very slow….

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 1
    • Squid on Oct 25, 2023 at 4:23 pm

      The guy who’s late to the party usually have the most fun…

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 1
      • Cimate Not Changing on Nov 01, 2023 at 3:36 pm

        First mover guy like Blurshark battery swapping kapcai won’t be having fun anytime soon…

        Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0
 

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