China’s global auto sales set to overtake Japan for first time in 2025 – projected 27 million versus 25 million

China’s global auto sales are set to overtake Japan for the first time in 2025, according to a report by Nikkei Asia. Based on company disclosures from January to November 2025 and data from S&P Global Mobility, Chinese automakers are projected to sell about 27 million vehicles

Chinese automakers look set to become the world’s largest sellers of new vehicles for the first time in 2025, overtaking Japanese manufacturers that have held the position for over 20 years, reports Nikkei Asia.

Based on data from S&P Global Mobility as well as company disclosures from January to November 2025, Chinese carmakers are projected to sell about 27 million vehicles worldwide in 2025, which is 17% higher than in 2024. Meanwhile, combined sales of Japanese automakers are expected to remain flat at around 25 million vehicles, which could see a drop to second place.

The report also notes approximately 70% of sales by Chinese automakers last year happened inside China, with fully electric (EV) and plug-in hybrid (PHEV) models making up nearly 60% of passenger car demand.

As for exports, Southeast Asia is expected to see sales of 500,000 Chinese vehicles in 2025, while it is nearly 2.3 million units in Europe. In other markets, Africa could absorb about 230,000 units, while it is around 540,000 units in Latin America – both saw an over 30% year-on-year (YoY) increase.

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