Subsidy rollback is ‘once in a generation’ move; likely to cause public backlash, but govt is ready – Rafizi

The biggest news of last Friday’s tabling of Budget 2025 is possibly the impending end to blanket subsidies for RON 95 petrol, which will be replaced by a targeted version that will come into place from mid-2025. Prime minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim said that the T15 (a new term that means the top 15% earners) and foreigners will soon have to pay market price for petrol, while 85% of the rakyat will continue to enjoy subsidised RON 95.

After subsidy rationalisation for diesel was implemented in June, it was always a matter of when and not if RON 95 petrol would follow. Now we have an idea when.

Although the majority of Malaysians will continue to enjoy subsidised RON 95 petrol, which is currently pegged at RM2.05 per litre, economy minister Rafizi Ramli acknowledged that the two-tier system is likely to cause significant public backlash, although the government is ready for it.

Subsidy rollback is ‘once in a generation’ move; likely to cause public backlash, but govt is ready – Rafizi

While this plan could raise inflation and trigger price hikes, the government is prepared for the challenges ahead, Rafizi said in an interview with Bloomberg TV. “We are prepared for the choppy waters ahead,” he said, branding the move “a once-in-a-generation decision that affects everyone’s lives.”

“My hope, and our responsibility in the government, is to make sure that we manage this properly so that it is sustainable,” Rafizi said, while estimating a 12-month inflation cycle after any fuel price hike before stabilising at around 2%.

Fuel subsidy is a thorny issue that takes political will to act on. After all, Malaysians have enjoyed subsidised petrol for decades, since the early 1980s. Over the years, fuel subsidy has grown to become a huge chunk of government expenditure – last year, Malaysia spent over RM50 billion on direct fuel subsidies alone.

Subsidy rollback is ‘once in a generation’ move; likely to cause public backlash, but govt is ready – Rafizi

Zooming in on petrol, Anwar said in his Budget 2025 speech that Malaysia spends RM20 billion a year in RON 95 subsidies to maintain pump prices at RM2.05 per litre, and moving to targeted subsidies would save the government RM8 billion, which is 40% of the total sum.

Anwar, who is also finance minister, said that this money, enjoyed by foreigners and the top 15% of maha kaya consumers, would be better utilised for the improvement of educational facilities, health as well public transportation.

Rafizi said that the government could not afford further delays, as the country’s fiscal health depends on subsidy cuts and tax base expansion. Reducing the budget deficit and retaining Malaysia’s top credit score are key priorities for the government to attract investors and strengthen the economy, he added.

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